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A comparison of simulated and observed ozone mixing ratios for the summer of 1998 in Western Europe

Identifieur interne : 002596 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 002595; suivant : 002597

A comparison of simulated and observed ozone mixing ratios for the summer of 1998 in Western Europe

Auteurs : H. Schmidt [France] ; C. Derognat [France] ; R. Vautard [France] ; M. Beekmann [France]

Source :

RBID : ISTEX:672A4F0D238096975113767634D31403F0696308

Abstract

This study describes and evaluates the newly developed European scale Eulerian chemistry transport model CHIMERE-continental. The model is designed for seasonal simulations and real time forecasts without the use of super-computers. For the purpose of model evaluation simulated ozone mixing ratios for the period between 1 May 1998 and 30 September 1998 are compared to observational data from 115 European surface sites. In order to facilitate the interpretation of future forecasts a statistic is established to estimate the reliability of a simulated pollution level. Besides this, the comparison is done by means of time series, scatter plots, a spectral analysis and the calculation of RMS-errors and biases of the model results corresponding to each observation site. It turns out that the mean RMS-error of the simulated daily maximum ozone mixing ratio for the sites considered a priori as well suited for a model comparison is about 10ppb. For the same period but a reduced number of sites observed concentrations of NO2 and ethene are compared to simulated values. Difficulties encountered with the representativeness of observations when trying to evaluate a mesoscale air pollution model are discussed.

Url:
DOI: 10.1016/S1352-2310(01)00451-4


Affiliations:


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